Within Uncertainty

Why Do Anxious People Prefer Simple Explanations?

Anxiety increases the appeal of explanations that replace ambiguity with a clear story and outcome.

On this page

  • Anxiety and ambiguity aversion
  • How myths reduce psychological discomfort
  • Evidence from uncertainty research
Preview for Why Do Anxious People Prefer Simple Explanations?

Introduction

Anxiety does more than make people feel uneasy. It changes how they deal with uncertainty. When the future seems unclear, the mind often looks for explanations that reduce doubt quickly. This is one reason simple myths can become especially convincing during anxious periods. Rather than leaving questions unanswered, myths offer a clear story, an identifiable cause, and a sense that events are understandable and predictable.

Anxiety Effects illustration 1 Research in psychology suggests that anxiety is closely linked to intolerance of uncertainty—the tendency to find ambiguous situations especially uncomfortable. When uncertainty feels threatening, explanations that simplify complexity can provide emotional relief, even if those explanations are inaccurate or unsupported by evidence. [Psychology Tools]psychologytools.comPsychology ToolsIntolerance Of Uncertainty: Help Your Clients To Embrace…15 Jun 2020 — Intolerance of uncertainty is an important tran… [PMC]pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPMCAnxiety as a disorder of uncertaintyPMC - NIHby VM Brown · 2023 · Cited by 51 — Studies of risk, ambiguity, and loss aversion in anxiety point to increased risk and ambiguit…

Why Do Anxious People Prefer Simple Explanations?

The key mechanism is not a lack of intelligence or information. Instead, anxiety increases the psychological cost of remaining uncertain.

When people are anxious, unanswered questions can feel emotionally exhausting. A complex reality often contains competing explanations, incomplete evidence, and unresolved debates. Accepting that ambiguity requires mental effort and emotional tolerance. For an anxious person, that uncertainty may feel more distressing than adopting a simple explanation.

Studies of anxiety consistently find links between anxiety and ambiguity aversion—the tendency to avoid situations where outcomes or information remain unclear. People with higher anxiety levels often perceive ambiguous situations as more threatening and more difficult to tolerate. PMC [Computational Psychiatry]cpsyjournal.orgComputational PsychiatryThe Computational and Neural Substrates of Ambiguity…by EL Lawrance · 2022 · Cited by 12 — We used computation…

A simple myth addresses this discomfort by replacing uncertainty with certainty:

  • A complicated event gains a single cause.
  • Randomness becomes intentional.
  • Open questions receive definitive answers.
  • Unpredictable outcomes appear predictable.

The emotional reward is immediate. The myth may not increase factual understanding, but it can reduce the uncomfortable feeling of not knowing.

Anxiety and Ambiguity Aversion

One of the strongest findings in anxiety research is that anxious individuals tend to react negatively to ambiguity itself.

Researchers studying intolerance of uncertainty have found that people high in this trait are more likely to interpret ambiguous situations as threatening and experience stronger negative emotions when information is incomplete. [PubMed]pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPubMedIntolerance of Uncertainty Is Associated With Increased…by JTH Chen · 2016 · Cited by 78 — Intolerance of Uncertainty Is Associa… [Cambridge University Press & Assessment]cambridge.orgmore…

This matters because myths often succeed by eliminating ambiguity rather than by providing strong evidence.

Consider two explanations for an unexpected event:

  1. A nuanced explanation that acknowledges multiple possible causes and remaining uncertainty.
  2. A simple myth that identifies one clear cause and claims certainty.

The first explanation may be more accurate, but the second often feels psychologically easier when anxiety is high. The certainty itself becomes attractive.

Research on ambiguity aversion shows that people generally prefer known situations over unknown ones, even when the objective evidence does not justify that preference. Anxiety appears to intensify this tendency. [The Decision Lab]thedecisionlab.comThe Decision LabAmbiguity EffectThe ambiguity effect is a cognitive bias that describes how we tend to avoid options that we consider to… [Frontiers]frontiersin.orgeffects on ambiguity intolerance (Eysenck et al., 1991; Richards et al., 2002). Yet another study showed that people become more ambiguit…

How Myths Reduce Psychological Discomfort

Simple myths function as emotional tools as much as informational claims.

Anxiety creates a state of heightened vigilance. The mind continually searches for potential threats, unanswered questions, and future risks. This process can generate a feeling that the world is chaotic or uncontrollable. Myths counteract that feeling by imposing order.

A myth typically provides three forms of psychological relief:

A clear cause. Instead of accepting that many factors contributed to an event, the myth identifies one reason.

A coherent story. Events become connected through a straightforward narrative rather than appearing random or confusing.

A predictable outcome. The future feels easier to anticipate because the myth claims to explain how the world works.

This reduction in uncertainty can feel rewarding. Psychological theories of anxiety increasingly describe anxiety as a response to the unknown itself, not merely to specific dangers. From this perspective, any explanation that appears to make the unknown more manageable may become appealing. PMC [Frontiers]frontiersin.orgeffects on ambiguity intolerance (Eysenck et al., 1991; Richards et al., 2002). Yet another study showed that people become more ambiguit…

Anxiety Effects illustration 2

The Search for Cognitive Closure

Another important mechanism is the need for cognitive closure.

Cognitive closure refers to the desire for a firm answer rather than ongoing uncertainty. People differ in how strongly they seek closure, but anxiety often increases that desire. When uncertainty becomes emotionally uncomfortable, individuals may feel pressure to reach a conclusion quickly. [PMC]pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPMCThe Computational and Neural Substrates of AmbiguityPMCby EL Lawrance · 2022 · Cited by 12 — Abstract. Theoretical accounts have linked anxiety to intolerance of ambiguity. However, this re… [PMC]pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPMCBeliefs in conspiracy theories and the need for cognitive closureby PJ Leman · 2013 · Cited by 303 — Two studies examined the relation…

Researchers studying conspiracy beliefs and similar forms of myth acceptance have repeatedly linked stronger needs for closure with greater attraction to definitive explanations. The appeal is not necessarily the content of the explanation; it is the fact that the explanation appears to settle the issue. PMC [Kent Academic Repository]kar.kent.ac.ukMarchlewska et al. Addicted to Answers FINALGalinsky, 2008), uncertainty (van…Read more…

This process can create a trade-off:

  • Accuracy often requires tolerating uncertainty.
  • Psychological comfort often comes from reducing uncertainty.

Under conditions of anxiety, comfort may temporarily take priority.

As a result, a simple myth can feel more satisfying than a complex but evidence-based explanation because it provides closure more quickly.

What Uncertainty Research Shows

Research across anxiety, decision-making, and belief formation points toward a consistent pattern: people who struggle more with uncertainty are more motivated to eliminate it. [ScienceDirect]sciencedirect.comScienceDirectState of the Science: Intolerance of Uncertaintyby MJ Dugas · 2025 · Cited by 15 — The construct of Intolerance of Uncertain… [ScienceDirect]sciencedirect.comScienceDirectState of the Science: Intolerance of Uncertaintyby MJ Dugas · 2025 · Cited by 15 — The construct of Intolerance of Uncertain…

Studies have found that intolerance of uncertainty is associated with stronger threat appraisals, increased negative emotional reactions under ambiguity, and decision-making styles that avoid uncertain situations. [PubMed]pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPubMedIntolerance of Uncertainty Is Associated With Increased…by JTH Chen · 2016 · Cited by 78 — Intolerance of Uncertainty Is Associa… [Sage Journals]journals.sagepub.comSage JournalsDecision-Making Styles and Intolerance of Uncertainty23 Jan 2026 — The findings showed that individuals with higher intolera…

Research on conspiracy beliefs provides a closely related example. Investigators have shown that the desire for certainty and closure can make broad explanatory narratives more attractive, particularly when official explanations seem incomplete or leave important questions unresolved. [Kent Academic Repository]kar.kent.ac.ukMarchlewska et al. Addicted to Answers FINALGalinsky, 2008), uncertainty (van…Read more… [Wiley Online Library]onlinelibrary.wiley.comWiley Online LibraryAddicted to answers: Need for cognitive closure and the…by M Marchlewska · 2018 · Cited by 414 — We hypothesized t…

The implication is not that anxiety automatically causes belief in myths. Most anxious people do not adopt false beliefs. Rather, anxiety creates conditions in which explanations that promise certainty gain an emotional advantage. If a myth appears to remove confusion, it may feel more convincing than it otherwise would.

Why the Feeling of Certainty Can Be Misleading

A common misunderstanding is that confidence signals truth. In reality, certainty and accuracy are different things.

Simple myths often produce a strong feeling of understanding because they eliminate ambiguity. However, the emotional relief that follows can be mistaken for evidence that the explanation is correct.

This is one reason myths can persist even when contradictory information exists. Once a belief reduces anxiety and restores a sense of order, abandoning it may require returning to uncertainty—a state many people find uncomfortable. Researchers studying cognitive closure note that individuals seeking certainty often prefer maintaining a settled answer over reopening unresolved questions. [PMC]pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPMCThe Mediating Effect of Beliefs in Conspiracy Theories about…by S Staszak · 2022 · Cited by 12 — The need for closure [19] is relat… [PMC]pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.govnih.govComputationally-defined markers of uncertainty aversion…by T Wise · 2022 · Cited by 8 — In line with this hypothesis, intoleran…

The result is a powerful psychological dynamic: anxiety increases discomfort with uncertainty, myths reduce that discomfort, and the resulting sense of certainty can make those myths feel more believable than they actually are.

Anxiety Effects illustration 3

The Core Mechanism

The relationship between anxiety and myth acceptance is fundamentally about uncertainty management.

Anxiety heightens sensitivity to ambiguity and increases the desire for clear answers. Simple myths satisfy that desire by transforming uncertainty into a coherent story with an identifiable cause and predictable outcome. The attraction comes less from the factual strength of the explanation and more from its ability to relieve psychological discomfort. When uncertainty feels threatening, certainty itself can become persuasive. PMC 3PMC [PubMed]pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.govPubMedIntolerance of Uncertainty Is Associated With Increased…by JTH Chen · 2016 · Cited by 78 — Intolerance of Uncertainty Is Associa…

Amazon book picks

Further Reading

Books and field guides related to Why Do Anxious People Prefer Simple Explanations?. Use these as the next step if you want deeper reading beyond the article.

BookCover for The Righteous Mind

The Righteous Mind

By Jonathan Haidt

First published 2012. Subjects: Political psychology, Social psychology, Ethics, Religious Psychology, nyt:combined-print-and-e-book-nonf...

eBay marketplace picks

Marketplace Samples

Example marketplace items related to this page. Use the search link to explore similar finds on eBay.

Using USA

Endnotes

  1. Source: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Title: PMCAnxiety as a disorder of uncertainty
    Link: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10475148/
    Source snippet

    PMC - NIHby VM Brown · 2023 · Cited by 51 — Studies of risk, ambiguity, and loss aversion in anxiety point to increased risk and ambiguit...

  2. Source: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Title: PMCThe Computational and Neural Substrates of Ambiguity
    Link: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9223033/
    Source snippet

    PMCby EL Lawrance · 2022 · Cited by 12 — Abstract. Theoretical accounts have linked anxiety to intolerance of ambiguity. However, this re...

  3. Source: cambridge.org
    Link: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/the-cognitive-behaviour-therapist/article/review-of-the-relationship-between-intolerance-of-uncertainty-and-threat-appraisal-in-anxiety/5D881C65A0A26CDEB3DDFDF2A8D3A458
    Source snippet

    more...

  4. Source: sciencedirect.com
    Link: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0005789425000887
    Source snippet

    ScienceDirectState of the Science: Intolerance of Uncertaintyby MJ Dugas · 2025 · Cited by 15 — The construct of Intolerance of Uncertain...

  5. Source: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Link: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3694217/
    Source snippet

    PMCBeliefs in conspiracy theories and the need for cognitive closureby PJ Leman · 2013 · Cited by 303 — Two studies examined the relation...

  6. Source: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Link: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9690611/
    Source snippet

    PMCThe Mediating Effect of Beliefs in Conspiracy Theories about...by S Staszak · 2022 · Cited by 12 — The [need for closure]({{ 'need-closure/' | relative_url }}) [19] is relat...

  7. Source: onlinelibrary.wiley.com
    Link: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ejsp.2308?ref=andybusam.com
    Source snippet

    Wiley Online LibraryAddicted to answers: Need for cognitive closure and the...by M Marchlewska · 2018 · Cited by 414 — We hypothesized t...

  8. Source: sciencedirect.com
    Link: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0092656624000382
    Source snippet

    Intolerance of uncertainty predicts indecisiveness and...by H Appel · 2024 · Cited by 22 — In decision making, intolerance of uncertaint...

  9. Source: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Link: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9942526/
    Source snippet

    nih.govComputationally-defined markers of uncertainty aversion...by T Wise · 2022 · Cited by 8 — In line with this hypothesis, intoleran...

  10. Source: cambridge.org
    Link: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/creating-conspiracy-beliefs/anxiety-psychological-motivations-and-conspiracy-beliefs/82B8FD804565C88C8748B706AC3D5730
    Source snippet

    uncertainty and the need for cognitive closure scales. Conspiracy beliefs were measured with the Belief in Conspiracy Theories Inventory...

  11. Source: sciencedirect.com
    Link: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301051123001187
    Source snippet

    Intolerance of uncertainty enhances generalisation of cued...by X Zhou · 2023 · Cited by 9 — Overgeneralisation is one of the aetiologie...

  12. Source: bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
    Link: https://bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/bjc.12534
    Source snippet

    of uncertainty causally affects indecisiveness - Appel11 Mar 2025 — Intolerance of uncertainty predicts indecisiveness and safety behavio...

  13. Source: psychologytools.com
    Link: https://www.psychologytools.com/articles/intolerance-of-uncertainty-help-your-clients-to-embrace-the-unknown-using-behavioral-experiments
    Source snippet

    Psychology ToolsIntolerance Of Uncertainty: Help Your Clients To Embrace...15 Jun 2020 — Intolerance of uncertainty is an important tran...

  14. Source: pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
    Link: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26763496/
    Source snippet

    PubMedIntolerance of Uncertainty Is Associated With Increased...by JTH Chen · 2016 · Cited by 78 — Intolerance of Uncertainty Is Associa...

  15. Source: cpsyjournal.org
    Link: https://cpsyjournal.org/articles/10.5334/cpsy.67
    Source snippet

    Computational PsychiatryThe Computational and Neural Substrates of Ambiguity...by EL Lawrance · 2022 · Cited by 12 — We used computation...

  16. Source: thedecisionlab.com
    Link: https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/ambiguity-effect
    Source snippet

    The Decision LabAmbiguity EffectThe ambiguity effect is a cognitive bias that describes how we tend to avoid options that we consider to...

  17. Source: frontiersin.org
    Link: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1485346/full
    Source snippet

    effects on ambiguity intolerance (Eysenck et al., 1991; Richards et al., 2002). Yet another study showed that people become more ambiguit...

  18. Source: frontiersin.org
    Link: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/integrative-neuroscience/articles/10.3389/fnint.2011.00055/full
    Source snippet

    Unpredictability and Uncertainty in Anxiety: A New...by JI Lake · 2011 · Cited by 69 — Human and non-human animal studies suggest that b...

  19. Source: kar.kent.ac.uk
    Title: Marchlewska et al. Addicted to Answers FINAL
    Link: https://kar.kent.ac.uk/61588/1/Marchlewska%20et%20al.%20Addicted%20to%20Answers%20FINAL.pdf
    Source snippet

    Galinsky, 2008), uncertainty (van...Read more...

  20. Source: journals.sagepub.com
    Link: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00332941251415319
    Source snippet

    Sage JournalsDecision-Making Styles and Intolerance of Uncertainty23 Jan 2026 — The findings showed that individuals with higher intolera...

  21. Source: frontiersin.org
    Link: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01550/full
    Source snippet

    Are ambiguity aversion and ambiguity intolerance identical...by Y Tanaka · 2015 · Cited by 33 — Our results suggest that ambiguity avers...

  22. Source: gonudgeyourself.com
    Link: https://www.gonudgeyourself.com/post/ambiguity-aversion
    Source snippet

    Ambiguity Aversion - Definitions, Causes, Risks, Advantages...31 Mar 2020 — Ambiguity aversion is defined as our preference for known ri...

  23. Source: skepticalinquirer.org
    Link: https://skepticalinquirer.org/2015/01/crazy-beliefs-sane-believers-toward-a-cognitive-psychology-of-conspiracy-id/
    Source snippet

    Frontiers in Psychology 4:378. Mason, Oliver, Gordon Claridge, and Mike Jackson. 1995...Read more...

Additional References

  1. Source: clinicaltrials.gov
    Link: https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT06962527
    Source snippet

    Test of Target Engagement of Ambiguity AversionThe present work aims to test whether a single session intervention alters ambiguity avers...

  2. Source: researchgate.net
    Link: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/244482781_Beliefs_in_conspiracy_theories_and_need_for_cognitive_closure
    Source snippet

    Beliefs in conspiracy theories and need for cognitive closureTwo studies examined the relationship between the need for cognitive closure...

  3. Source: taylorfrancis.com
    Link: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/oa-edit/10.1201/9781315225302-79/need-cognitive-closure-belief-conspiracy-theories-exploration-role-religious-fundamentalism-cognition-umam-muluk-milla
    Source snippet

    The need for cognitive closure and belief in conspiracy theoriesby AN Umam · 2017 · Cited by 15 — Latest research shows that belief in co...

  4. Source: pdfs.semanticscholar.org
    Link: https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/6e85/8861ef04c081dc7a736d39ca01e1c65d5b91.pdf
    Source snippet

    semanticscholar.org224 Tolerance of uncertainty and ambiguity of the situation...by S Bokuniewicz · Cited by 32 — The aim of the underta...

  5. Source: discovery.ucl.ac.uk
    Link: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/10167134/1/s13415-023-01068-6.pdf
    Source snippet

    ucl.ac.ukAversion, interpretation and determinability: Three factors of...People tend to show an aversion to choices that have uncertain...

  6. Source: scientificamerican.com
    Title: people drawn to conspiracy theories share a cluster of psychological features
    Link: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/people-drawn-to-conspiracy-theories-share-a-cluster-of-psychological-features/
    Source snippet

    People Drawn to Conspiracy Theories Share a Cluster of...1 Mar 2019 — New research suggests that events happening worldwide are nurturin...

  7. Source: ssoar.info
    Title: ssoar frontierssp 2025 Jedinger et al Need for cognitive closure
    Link: https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/bitstream/handle/document/99896/ssoar-frontierssp-2025-Jedinger_et_al-Need_for_cognitive_closure.pdf?sequence=3
    Source snippet

    Need for cognitive closure, political trust, and belief in...by A Jedinger · 2025 · Cited by 5 — Psychological motives related to height...

  8. Source: researchgate.net
    Link: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/358311829_The_Computational_and_Neural_Substrates_of_Ambiguity_Avoidance_in_Anxiety
    Source snippet

    ed ambiguity aversion (Lawrance et al., 2022), while patients with...Read more...

  9. Source: facebook.com
    Title: 🧩🤯 Why do conspiracy theories feel so… comforting?
    Link: https://www.facebook.com/EconomicTimes/posts/-why-do-conspiracy-theories-feel-so-comforting-a-new-study-says-its-not-social-m/1356041056551799/
    Source snippet

    conspiracies are a way for us to get “cognitive closure,” and that's thought to be a major appeal of them. “They Give Us a Sense...

  10. Source: scholarship.miami.edu
    Link: https://scholarship.miami.edu/esploro/outputs/doctoral/An-Ecological-Momentary-Assessment-Study-of/991032728834802976
    Source snippet

    Ecological Momentary Assessment Study of Intolerance of...by HC Broos — Greater self-reported IU was significantly associated with great...

Topic Tree

Follow this branch

Parent topic

Uncertainty Why Uncertainty Makes Myths Appealing

Related pages 4